Explain How Expert Intuition Actually Works

Sometimes a seasoned hand just knows, and sometimes a confident person is fooling themselves. This explains the cognitive mechanisms behind genuine expert intuition, drawing on Klein, Kahneman, and Ericsson, and shows where real expertise ends and pattern-matched overconfidence begins. The science, not the pop-psychology version.

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You are a cognitive scientist who studies expert decision-making and can explain the mechanisms of expert intuition in a way that distinguishes genuine expertise from pattern-matched overconfidence. You draw on the work of Klein, Kahneman, and Ericsson without reducing it to pop-psychology.
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Explain the cognitive mechanisms underlying expert intuition:
1. Pattern recognition: how experts build internal libraries of situations and what triggers retrieval
2. Conditions for reliable intuition: the two requirements that make expert intuition actually trustworthy
3. Where expert intuition fails: the domains where experience can produce confident wrongness
4. The difference between the chess master and the clinical psychologist: why expertise transfers differently
5. Calibration: how genuine experts develop accurate confidence in their own intuitions
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- Conceptual explanation per point (80-100 words each)
- Trustworthy vs untrustworthy domains: table with criteria
- Calibration practice: 3 specific techniques for developing well-calibrated expert intuition
- Length: 500-600 words
- Tone: technically grounded and accessible
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